Skip navigation

Tag Archives: put option

Squared GBPUSD Put Option

I didn’t feel comfortable about the GBPUSD so I decided to square the option at 1.2875 for a trading profit of 45bps.

Squared AUDUSD Put Option

Felt that the AUDUSD was not going south as strongly as I had anticipated so decided to square the option at 0.7580 for a trading profit of 57bps

5 July @ Bought 2 week EURUSD Put Option

The 1H chart looks so yummy with the EURUSD bursting downards of the Ichimoku clouds.  It also cut from the top the 200DMA.

It suggests to me that in the short term there could be further weakness in the EUR.

I decided to buy a 2 week EURUSD Put Option expiring on July 14 with the following details: –

Spot: 1.1320, Premium: 50bps, BE: 1.1270

Let’s see.

3 July @ Bought 1 month AUDUSD Put Option

I also felt that the AUDUSD was unsustainable.

So I decided to buy a one month put option with the following details: –

Spot: 0.7692, Premium 70bps, BE: 0.7622, Expiry: 2 August

Let’s see.

3 July @ Bought GBPUSD 1 month Put Option

I felt that the GBPUSD was too high and unsustainable.

On July 3rd, I decided to buy a GBPUSD put option for 1 month with the following details: –

Spot: 1.3020, Premium: 100bps, Breakeven: 1.2920, Expiry: 2 August

We will see.

NFP!

After ADP superby performance of 253K versus forecast of 181K, Wall Street and Main Street were anxiously awaiting NFP tonight.

Then again, there were many times when NFP surprised us all with a weaker number.

I decided to play my straddle to capture the market either way: –

Bought a EURUSD Put Option expiring Monday, June 5th; Spot 1.1215 and B/E 1.1189

Bought a USDJPY Put Option expiring Monday, June 5th; Spot 111.59 and B/E 111.26

As it turned out, the NFP number came in considerably weaker at 138K versus forecast of 181K and previous month was also adjusted lower.

The EUR strengthened agaisnt the USD, so my put option was useless.

However, the JPY strengthened against the USD and put my USDJPY put option into the money.

I decided to square the USDJPY put option at 110.57.  It was sufficient to offset the cost of both the options and left me with a decent 36 bps trading profit.

ECB Rate Decision……..TONIGHT!

I believe Draghi is going to starting reining in QE as he kind of hinted in his last press conference.

However, because of the Brexit, French elections, Greece and Italy, I can’t help thinking that he might end up also being alittle dovish.

So in truth, I believe he can go either way, but the volatility on the upside seem to be higher than the down side.

I decided to execute a double down call and put option spread with the following details: –

Spot; 1.0905

Call option; BE; 1.0948 with 43bps premium

Put Option; BE; 1.0879 with 26 bps premium

Total premiums; 69bps.

Let’s see what happens. I believe whatever happens tonight will translate into market action over the next few days.

It doesn’t help that it’s a long weekend upcoming up.

 

13 April; Bought 1 month GBPUSD Put Option and USDJPY Call Option both expiring 15 May

Volatility is low, so it’s increasingly more difficult to do intra day spot trades.

I felt the timing was more appropriate for options so decided to execute the following options: –

1 Month GBPUSD Put Option – Strike at Spot 1.2565, premium at 129bps and BE at 1.2436

1 Month USDJPY Call Option – Strike at Spot 108.85, premium at 1.43yen and BE at 110.29

Let’s see what happens.

23 June @ Day of Voting for Brexit or Bremain

Decided to take a small punt though I wasn’t exactly comfortable with the volatility.

A two day put option was 120bps, which means for every 1Million nominal option size, the cost is $12,000/-.

Nonetheless, decided to take a small position with the following details: –

2 Day Put Option

Option Amout: $2Million

Strike: 1.4862

Premium: 115bps

Breakeven: 1.4747

It’s gone crazy now!!!!

About half of the results are in and Leave leads by 3.5%, GBP plummets.

I decided to take profit on my option and sold the option five minutes ago at 1.3490 for a whopping 1,257bps or a payout ratio of 10.4:1!!!!!

I am out for the rest of the day! Thank you UK!

RBA Rate Decision – Game in play

I hope all of us was there at 12:30pm today for RBA’s rate decision?

This meeting of RBA has been getting a lot of noise in the media since the past three weeks.

I decided to buy a AUDUSD Put Option with the following details: –

Strike; 0.7696, Premium; 34bps, Breakeven; 0.7662, expiry 10am NY 4 May

As it turned out, the RBA decided to cut interest rates by 0.25% to 1.75%.  As expected market reacted selling the AUD down aggressively.

Within 15 minutes, I decided to sell the option at 0.7563, locking in trading profits of 99bps!

Thank you RBA.

Trust all of you also managed to capture this opportunity……….(“,).

More drama later into the week…………